Super Bowl Prop Bets - Peyton Manning

Taking a Stand is a Requirement When Betting on Peyton Manning Props

By Aidan Yarborough

He comes from football royalty, the Mannings of New Orleans.  He’s a 4 time MVP.  He’s arguably the greatest quarterback to ever play football.  Time and time again, he’s willed his teammates to victory.

And…yep…I’m betting against him.  The only way to make money on the Super Bowl 44 prop bets involving Peyton Manning, in my opinion, is to take a stand against him.  In other words, either you believe that the Colts will cover the now 5 point spread in the Super Bowl sportsbook and that Manning will have a field day against a sometimes much maligned Saints’ D, or you don’t.

If you don’t, if you believe that the pressure that the Saints’ D will dial up in the Super Bowl will get to Manning, then you have take a stand against him.  That’s me.  I’m taking a stand against him.  I’ll be betting that the QB I believe to be the best to ever play in the NFL (I’ve written it more than once!) is going to fail.

In the words of Jules Verne in Pulp Fiction, “Look at the big balls on Brad!”  Except, of course, my name isn’t Brad.

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Super Bowl 44:  Best Peyton Manning Prop Bets


Will Peyton Manning Throw an Interception?

Yes               -140
No            +110

Really?  This is an actual bet?  Manning threw 16 interceptions during the regular season.  16.  He threw 2 against the Baltimore Ravens in the NFC Divisional Round but 1 was called back because of a penalty.

Manning can be rattled and will be rattled in the Super Bowl.  During the regular season, Manning threw 2 picks against New England, Baltimore and Houston and 3 against Denver.

What do New England, Baltimore and Denver have in common with the Saints?  All three of those teams, like New Orleans, love to blitz.  Peyton will definitely throw a pick in this game.

Pick:  Yes at -140

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What Will Happen 1st For Peyton Manning?

Throw a TD Pass        -300
Throw an Interception        +220


This is a great “long shot” bet to make in the sportsbook.  I mean, yes, Peyton should definitely throw a TD Pass before tossing a pick, but the odds are just too good not to go the other way.

The bottom line is that the Colts only average 80.9 yards on the ground.  Without a solid running game, Peyton has nothing to help him keep the Saints’ D honest.  The Colts’ running backs are going to have to pick up the blitz quickly and Peyton is going to have to get rid of the ball quickly.

Expect Saints’ D-coordinator, Gregg Williams, to mix up his blitz schemes to really confuse Peyton.  Williams will start mixing it up the first time the Colts have the ball.  He knows that the Colts’ only chance of victory in the Super Bowl is for Peyton to throw as many passes as he can.

So, I’ll be rolling the dice with this prop.  I’m betting on Peyton tossing a pick before a TD.

Pick:  Throw an Interception at +220

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Peyton Manning Total Passing Yards

Over 310 ½        -120
Under 310 ½        -110

Sports gamblers have every right to assume that Peyton Manning will throw for over 310 ½ yards in Super Bowl 44.  After all, the New Orleans Saints allowed Brett Favre to throw for 310 yards in the NFC Championship Game.

Wait a sec…that’s only 310 yards that the Saints gave up to Brett Favre?  Only 310?  While watching the game it looked closer to 410 yards that the Saints were giving up to Favre, but after checking the stats it was only 310.  Why did the Saints give up that many yards to the Vikings?  Because the Vikings have a solid running game.  That’s not true with the Colts.

The Colts’ have the worse running game in the NFL, it’s ranked 32nd.  Another stat to look at is the fact that Peyton Manning has thrown for over 300 yards in only 2 of the Colts’ last 9 games.  Without a running game to support him, Peyton should have trouble reaching 300 passing yards much less 310 ½. 

I’m betting under the 310 ½ at -110

Pick:  Under 310 ½ -110

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